Strength
Strength
|
39 21 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
964 49 Strength Momentum |
1068 41.4(51) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Cibola | 0.000 | 1546 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 724 | 7% | |
| 08/27/15 | Highland | 0.000 | 907 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 824 | 58% | |
| 08/29/15 | Albuquerque | 0.000 | 1514 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 975 | 8% | |
| 09/01/15 | Rio Grande !! | 0.001 | 931 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1086 | 56% | |
| 09/03/15 | Manzano | 0.001 | 1120 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 981 | 36% | |
| 09/08/15 | Manzano | 0.003 | 1120 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 931 | 36% | |
| 09/10/15 | Cibola | 0.000 | 1546 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 724 | 7% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Valencia | 0.008 | 1086 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-4) | 784 | 34% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Moriarty | 0.016 | 458 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-4) | 773 | 90% | |
| 09/23/15 | at Albuquerque ? | 0.005 | 1514 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 731 | 6% | |
| 09/26/15 | Valley | 0.053 | 1049 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 895 | 43% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Rio Grande ! | 0.097 | 931 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1009 | 51% | |
| 10/02/15 | West Mesa | 0.123 | 889 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 865 | 61% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Volcano Vista ?? | 0.026 | 1463 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 706 | 8% | |
| 10/10/15 | Albuquerque | 0.105 | 1514 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-1) | 923 | 8% | |
| 10/14/15 | at Valley | 0.403 | 1049 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 968 | 38% | |
| 10/17/15 | Rio Grande | 0.495 | 931 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 936 | 56% | |
| 10/21/15 | at West Mesa | 0.597 | 889 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 988 | 56% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Atrisco Heritage actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1068, while
Atrisco Heritage's "weighted playing strength" is 951
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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